Financial Time Series and High Frequency Econometrics
THE COURSE IS DELIVERED IN ONLINE MODE
If the conditions of the ongoing COVID 19 pandemic allow it, the course will be also delivered in presence. Partecipants may express thier preference upon acceptance
Bertinoro, 14-19 June 2021
Alessandra Amendola, University of Salerno
Vincenzo Candila, Sapienza University of Rome
Massimiliano Caporin, University of Padua
Walter Distaso, Imperial College London and University of Messina
Program is conditional to the recruitment of a minimum of 15 participants
Intermediate knowledge of statistical inference and econometrics.
Models for daily returns (based on EOD information):
- Modelling and forecasting the conditional mean of returns (level): ARMA and ARIMA models;
- Modelling and forecasting conditional variance of returns (volatility): GARCH models and their variants;
- Modelling and forecasting conditional covariances and correlations: Multivariate GARCH models.
High frequency econometrics:
- Features of intra-daily data;
- Volatility estimation with Jumps and microstructure noise;
- Volatility modeling and forecasting using high frequency data;
- GARCH type models using realized information (Realized GARCH, HEAVY);
- Dynamic models for realized measures (HAR, MEM);
- Localized (high frequency) regressions;
- Realized covariances and correlations: estimation challenges and dynamic models.
Portfolio construction and optimization:
- Predicting time-varying expected returns; the problem of persistent regressors;
- Estimating and predicting covariance matrices;
- Factor models: linear observable factors specification and estimation;
- Estimating risk premia in cross-section, Fama-McBeth regressions;
- Portfolio optimization.
- Backtesting and Evaluation of volatility forecast;
- Risk measures: VaR, Expected Shortfall; parametric and semiparametric approaches; conditional quantiles and expectiles.
Reference textbooks and suggested readings:
Aït-Sahalia Y., Jacod J. (2014) High-frequency Financial Econometrics, Princeton University Press.
Bauwens L., Hafner C., Laurent S. (2012) Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications, Wiley.
Christoffersen P. (2016) Elements of Financial Risk Management, Academic Press.
Francq C., Zakoian J.M. (2010) GARCH Models: Structure, Statistical Inference and Financial Applications, Wiley.
Hautsch N. (2012) Econometrics of Financial High-Frequency Data, Springer.
Linton O. (2019) Financial Econometrics: Models and Methods, Cambridge University Press.
Turan G. Bali, Robert F. Engle, Scott Murray (2016) Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns, Wiley.
Handouts, further readings and material will be provided before the beginning of the course and during the lectures.
Theoretical lectures are associated with working sessions; during them you will receive the suggestions needed to use an econometric software and to run your own empirical analysis. Data-sets and programming files to make applied econometrics will be provided during the lectures.
For the practical tutorials and applications participants will use the softwares R and Matlab, which will have to be installed on their own laptops.
The Module will last one week and will be held in the University Residential Centre, Via Frangipane 6, 47032 Bertinoro (FC). Participants will be hosted in the Centre guest quarters, (as an exception, in case of reduced availability of rooms in the Centre, they will be accommodated in local hotels).
Lectures and tutorials will be in English, with the following schedule:
Monday to Friday: lectures 9:00-13:00, 15:00-17:00; Tutorials and individual hands-on sessions: 17:00-19:00.
Saturday: lectures 9:00-13:00.
Fees and Enrollment
* Online Course
- Students, new graduated students, PhD students and temporary university staff: 340 euro
- University staff: 450 euro
- Others: 1500 euro
* Course in Bertinoro
- Students, new graduated students, PhD students and temporary university staff: 690€
- University staff: 800€
- Others: 2300€
Fee includes: accommodation breakfast and lunch (starting from Sunday evening).
If participants do not need any accomodation during the course, please send an email to firstname.lastname@example.org to request a reduced fee and we will apply a cost reduction of 100€.
In case of enrollment in two or more courses, for a maximum of three, Student and Staff participants are entitled to a discount of 100 euros on each course. Other participants are entitled to a discount of 300 euros on each course.
Renounce and refund:
To submit a renounce request, please send an email to email@example.com.
You can give up immediately after the notification of acceptance or later.
After the payment, you can submit your renounce up to one week (7 days) from the beginning of the course (within the terms for refund) and ask for a refund with motivated reasons (health reasons to be documented, for study purposes or personal reasons). We will refund your fee with a deduction for administrative and organization costs:
150 Euro for the course in presence, 100 Euro for online course.
Over the terms for refund (less of 7 days from the beginning of the course) you need to motivate your request (as indicated above), which will be submitted to SIdE President.
Application Deadline: April 30th, 2021
Notification of acceptance will be posted by the 7th May, 2021
Deadline for Fee Payment is May 30th, 2021
- For more information: Laura Urraci e-mail: firstname.lastname@example.org
- For administrative issues : Laura Urraci (email@example.com), Alessandra Picariello (firstname.lastname@example.org), phone:+39 0512092637
- For travel and accommodation: Monica Michelacci (email@example.com), Roberta Partisani (firstname.lastname@example.org) phone: +39 0543446500